尽管增加的速度有所放缓，欧盟有望在今年冬季到来之前填满其天然气储备

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欧盟6月初的天然气储存量比10年同期平均水平高出48%

欧盟的目标是到今年11月1日前将天然气储存量提高到90%，尽管天然气价格在上涨，但需求仍然低迷

据油价网2023年6月29日报道，挪威著名能源研究和商业情报公司雷斯塔能源公司（Rystad Energy）预测，欧盟的天然气储存设施有望提前填满。

西班牙《国家报》援引高级分析师陆明庞（音译）的话报道说：“考虑到历史需求，并假设不同的供应情况，储存设施甚至可能在今年冬季之前就出现满负荷，导致天然气流量不得不转移到其他地方。”

路透社的约翰·肯普6月早些时候表示，欧盟今年早些时候开始填充其天然气库存，但最近的库存增加速度有所放缓，这是因为天然气低价格刺激了工业消费者的更高需求。

肯普指出，在5月底天然气储存水平达到容量的三分之二之后，6月初的天然气储存水平比十年同期平均水平高出48%。

然而，由于去年的暖冬和价格过高导致的天然气需求大幅下降，一开始就有更多的天然气被储存起来。

根据Rystad Energy公布的数据，到6月25日为止，欧洲天然气储存量为76%，而去年同期为56%。欧盟的目标是到今年11月1日达到90%的储存水平。

与此同时，6月大部分时间气价都在上涨，主要原因是挪威气田维护作业导致天然气生产中断。《国家报》指出，6月到目前为止，欧盟的天然气价格上涨了38%。

当周，天然气基准价格进一步上涨，达到每兆瓦时3575美元，这是因为天气预报显示，欧洲西北部的大部分地区——欧洲最大的天然气消费地区——将迎来一个比以往更热的夏季，并且至少持续到7月中旬。

然而，与五年平均水平相比，欧洲的天然气总体需求仍然低迷，因为经济放缓，尽管天然气价格远低于去年夏天的历史最高水平，但工业仍未转向天然气。

彭博新能源财经分析师在本周早些时候的一份报告中写道：“本周欧洲的热浪将增加用电量，但尽管天然气价格下跌，今年欧洲的电力需求仍然低迷。”

李峻 译自 油价网

原文如下：

Europe Set To Reach Natural Gas Storage Target Ahead Of Schedule

· The European Union is on track to fill up its natural gas storage ahead of winter this year, despite additions having slowed down.

· Natural gas storage levels at the beginning of June were 48% higher than the ten-year average for that time of year.

· The European Union aims to have storage levels at 90% by November 1, and while prices are rising – demand remains subdued.

The European Union is on track to fill up its natural gas storage facilities ahead of schedule, Rystad Energy has forecast.

“Considering historical demand, and assuming different supply scenarios, storage facilities could even be full ahead of winter this year, resulting in gas flows having to be diverted elsewhere,” senior analyst Lu Ming Pang said, as quoted by The National.

The EU began filling its gas storage earlier this year but lately the additions have slowed down, Reuters’ John Kemp reported earlier this month, as low prices stimulate higher demand from industrial consumers.

Kemp noted that the levels of gas in storage at the beginning of June were 48% higher than the ten-year average for that time of the year, after storage levels reached two-thirds of capacity in late May.

There was more gas in storage to begin with, however, due to last year’s mild winter and significantly lower gas demand because of excessive prices.

According to Rystad Energy, as of June 25, European gas storage was 76% full, compared to 56% a year earlier. The European Union targets a 90% fill level by November 1.

Prices, meanwhile, have been on the rise for most of this month, mostly because of production outages in Norway due to field maintenance. So far this month, gas prices in the EU have added 38%, The National noted.

This week, benchmark prices rose further, hitting $3575 per megawatt-hour as weather forecasts suggest that most of northwest Europe, the biggest consumers of gas, will see a hotter-than-usual start to the summer, to continue at least until the middle of July.

Overall demand for gas in Europe, however, remains subdued compared to the five-year average as economies slow down and industries haven’t switched to gas despite the much lower prices compared to the records seen last summer.

“The heat wave will increase electricity consumption this week, but Europe’s power demand remains subdued in 2023, despite lower prices,” BloombergNEF analysts wrote in a note earlier this week.